September 25, 2024 09:39 GMT
STIR: No Change In BoE Pricing During Greene's Speech
STIR
No tangible movement in BoE pricing following comments from BoE’s Greene.
- We have already noted that the speech suggested that Greene may vote for a cut in November, although she is still more hawkish than the average MPC member.
- Modest subsequent hawkish repricing seems to come alongside weakness in wider core global bonds.
- 26bp of cuts priced for November, 41bp of cuts priced for year-end and ~125bp of cuts showing through June ’25.
- SONIA futures give up the post-settlement uptick, last flat to -0.5.
BoE Meeting |
SONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)
Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Nov-24
4.689
-26.1
Dec-24
4.541
-40.9
Feb-25
4.276
-67.4
Mar-25
4.067
-88.3
May-25
3.824
-112.6
Jun-25
3.695
-125.5
Aug-25
3.542
-140.9
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