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/STOCKS: Treasuries sliding lower, once.....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: /STOCKS: Treasuries sliding lower, once again with the correlated
trade, as US$ rises vs. yen, spurring black-box tied selling in Tsys; US 10Y
yield is at 2.365% vs. session high yield of 2.370% hit at 11:42am ET; US$/Yen
hit a session high of Y112.55 before fading, now is at Y112.4630. "It is the
dollar, and everything is following that," said one trader at a primary dealer.
"And a lot of people are still long Treasuries and getting nervous: people are
talking about the Goldman Sachs' call for four rate hikes in 2018.
- "So it's position getting wound down," he added. "Plus we have 2/5/7Y auction
supply next week. The market is starting to price in nearly 100% odds of a
December rate hike. So the only thing holding the economy back is the tax reform
nervousness. We don't know."
- But if such tax reform passage in Congress "does not happen, that takes steam
out of the growth rate expectations for next year," he added. "But there may be
some expectations that the tax reform package does get done, and the Treasuries
market is long," thus that would argue for firmer stocks/cheaper Tsys, so some
accounts may already be moving in that direction, he said.

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