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Strong Trade Position To Make Strong Contribution To Q4 GDP

AUSTRALIA DATA

The Q4 current account surplus was a lot higher than expected at $14.1bn an increase from the upwardly revised $0.8bn the previous quarter, as the trade surplus widened and the net primary income deficit declined. Higher commodity prices boosted mining export values.

  • The trade surplus widened to $40.9bn from $31.5bn in Q3 and is expected to contribute 1.1pp to Q4 GDP published tomorrow, slightly less than the 1.3pp forecast.
  • Goods and services exports boomed rising 3% q/q and30.2% y/y. Goods rose 1.9% q/q and 27.4% y/y and services 11.4% and 53.6% as the country continued to see the post-pandemic increase in tourists and students.
  • Imports of goods and services fell 3.1% q/q to be up a 26.4% y/y. Goods imports fell 2.2% q/q due to a fall in both prices and volumes of fuel and lubricants after reaching a record level in Q3 2022. Consumer goods imports fell 0.7% q/q but are still up 22.5% y/y. Easing global shipping costs saw freight prices stabilise according to the ABS. Services imports fell 6.7% q/q to be up 61.4% y/y, reflecting the recovery in Australians travelling abroad.
Australia current account A$bn

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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