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Policy
Policy
Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Exclusive interviews with leading policymakers that convey the true policy message that impacts markets.
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Global Macro
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI EUROPEAN MARKETS ANALYSIS: China Equities Lower Post CEWC
MNI EUROPEAN OPEN: Sharp Fall In China Bond Yields Continues
Summary – April 05
- Focus turns to the March nonfarm payrolls report, at which markets expect 214k jobs added this month, along with a tick lower in the unemployment rate to 3.8%. Average hourly earnings are expected to slow further, with the y/y rate seen at 4.1% vs. 4.3% previously. In LatAm, Brazil February budget balance data will cross, followed by Chile nominal wages for February. Mexico March vehicle production and the latest Banamex economist survey will also be released.
- US Dollar - the USD Index is more stable after three consecutive sessions of declines, leaving the currency poised for post-jobs report volatility. 103.922 marks the first downside level, the 50-dma, which provided firm support during Thursday trade, so could mark an important level ahead of the weekend.
- Global News:
- US / ISRAEL – Israel will allow more aid to enter Gaza and reopen a major border crossing after a warning by President Biden that support for Israel's war effort against Hamas hinges on it doing more to help ease the humanitarian crisis in the strip. The warning, delivered in a Thursday phone call between the two leaders, signalled that Biden is toughening his stance after an Israeli strike that killed seven people delivering food to displaced Palestinians in Gaza.
- JAPAN (MNI) – BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said the board will consider a further increase to its policy interest rate if the probability of achieving the bank’s 2% target increases, the Asahi Shimbun reported on Friday. Ueda in an interview with the newspaper said he expects the probability to increase from summer to autumn when hefty wage hikes in spring wage negotiations reflect prices.
- US / CHINA – Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen chided China’s government for “unfair” treatment of American and other foreign companies and called on Beijing to return to the pro-market reforms of the past, at the start of her four-day visit to the country.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.