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LATAM: Summary – January 28

LATAM
  • The BCCh is widely expected to pause its easing cycle at 5.0% on Tuesday, amid rising near-term inflation pressures. Elsewhere, Brazil December tax collections are due, followed by Colombia industrial and retail confidence figures, also for December.
  • In the US, preliminary durable goods orders and the Conference Board's consumer confidence stats for January cross, but are unlikely to shake up markets given the proximity to the Fed on Wednesday. The central bank speaker schedule remains very contained, with both the FOMC and ECB's Governing Council inside their pre-meeting media blackout periods.
  • The greenback is clawing back a small part of the recent lost ground as Trump tariff threats have further worked in favour of the greenback, aiding the USD Index back above the 50-dma. Having been the best performer across G10 on Monday, the JPY is weaker into Tuesday's NY crossover. Equity sentiment remains a key driver here, and the bounce off lows for the e-mini S&P has been instructive in the pullback for the JPY today.
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  • The BCCh is widely expected to pause its easing cycle at 5.0% on Tuesday, amid rising near-term inflation pressures. Elsewhere, Brazil December tax collections are due, followed by Colombia industrial and retail confidence figures, also for December.
  • In the US, preliminary durable goods orders and the Conference Board's consumer confidence stats for January cross, but are unlikely to shake up markets given the proximity to the Fed on Wednesday. The central bank speaker schedule remains very contained, with both the FOMC and ECB's Governing Council inside their pre-meeting media blackout periods.
  • The greenback is clawing back a small part of the recent lost ground as Trump tariff threats have further worked in favour of the greenback, aiding the USD Index back above the 50-dma. Having been the best performer across G10 on Monday, the JPY is weaker into Tuesday's NY crossover. Equity sentiment remains a key driver here, and the bounce off lows for the e-mini S&P has been instructive in the pullback for the JPY today.