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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
UK
UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak has ruled out the possibility of a general election on May 2, the same day as local elections.
- Sunak said, in an interview with ITV, that the May 2 local elections are, "important elections, that's what I'm focused on. There won't be a general election that day but when there is a general election what matters is the choice."
- An early general election has long been seen as unlikely considering the wide polling gap between Sunak's ruling Conservative Party and the opposition Labour Party.
- Betting markets continue to view Q4 2024 as the most likely time for a general election with data from Smarkets showing an implied probability of 74% of a Q4 general election.
Figure 1: Data of Next UK General Election
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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