Free Trial

US DATA: Surprisingly High Job Openings But Quit Rates Resume Decline

US DATA

The JOLTS report saw surprisingly elevated job openings in November but the quits rate reversed a surprise increase from back in October.  

  • Job openings 8090k (cons 7740k) in Nov after an upward revised 7,839k (initial 7,744k) in Oct.
  • The ratio to unemployed 1.13 after an upward revised 1.12 (initial 1.11). It edges to what’s technically a fresh high since June, off a low of 1.08 in Jul and Sep, but has more broadly stabilized at 1.1 since July. These are levels last seen in mid-2021.
  • It clearly remains low by recent standards having averaged 1.21 in Q2 for close to the 1.19 seen in 2019 although is still elevated compared to earlier pre-pandemic years such as the 1.00 averaged in 2017-18.
  • The quits rate dropped back to 1.92% after a slightly downward revised 2.06% in Oct (initial 2.09).
  • It’s an important reversal after October surprisingly saw its first monthly increase on a rounded basis since May 2023.
  • It pokes through the 1.95 in Sep for its lowest since Jun 2020. 2019 av 2.33, 2017-18 av 2.20.
image
175 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.

The JOLTS report saw surprisingly elevated job openings in November but the quits rate reversed a surprise increase from back in October.  

  • Job openings 8090k (cons 7740k) in Nov after an upward revised 7,839k (initial 7,744k) in Oct.
  • The ratio to unemployed 1.13 after an upward revised 1.12 (initial 1.11). It edges to what’s technically a fresh high since June, off a low of 1.08 in Jul and Sep, but has more broadly stabilized at 1.1 since July. These are levels last seen in mid-2021.
  • It clearly remains low by recent standards having averaged 1.21 in Q2 for close to the 1.19 seen in 2019 although is still elevated compared to earlier pre-pandemic years such as the 1.00 averaged in 2017-18.
  • The quits rate dropped back to 1.92% after a slightly downward revised 2.06% in Oct (initial 2.09).
  • It’s an important reversal after October surprisingly saw its first monthly increase on a rounded basis since May 2023.
  • It pokes through the 1.95 in Sep for its lowest since Jun 2020. 2019 av 2.33, 2017-18 av 2.20.
image