January 07, 2025 15:10 GMT
US DATA: Surprisingly High Job Openings But Quit Rates Resume Decline
US DATA
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The JOLTS report saw surprisingly elevated job openings in November but the quits rate reversed a surprise increase from back in October.
- Job openings 8090k (cons 7740k) in Nov after an upward revised 7,839k (initial 7,744k) in Oct.
- The ratio to unemployed 1.13 after an upward revised 1.12 (initial 1.11). It edges to what’s technically a fresh high since June, off a low of 1.08 in Jul and Sep, but has more broadly stabilized at 1.1 since July. These are levels last seen in mid-2021.
- It clearly remains low by recent standards having averaged 1.21 in Q2 for close to the 1.19 seen in 2019 although is still elevated compared to earlier pre-pandemic years such as the 1.00 averaged in 2017-18.
- The quits rate dropped back to 1.92% after a slightly downward revised 2.06% in Oct (initial 2.09).
- It’s an important reversal after October surprisingly saw its first monthly increase on a rounded basis since May 2023.
- It pokes through the 1.95 in Sep for its lowest since Jun 2020. 2019 av 2.33, 2017-18 av 2.20.
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