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Sell-side reactions to this morning's inflation print (3/3)

RIKSBANK
  • JP Morgan: "There is risk that the Riksbank will frontload rate hikes more than indicated by the June rate path. A 75bp rate hike in September or even raising rates by 50bp at an extraordinary meeting in August (shortly after the release of the July inflation report) cannot be ruled out, in our view. We still see a terminal rate of 2%"
  • Nordea: "Inflation is sky-high and clearly higher than the Riksbank’s forecast, supporting our view that the bank will hike rates by 50 bp in September as well as in November. As for our forecast on the Riksbank, risks are indeed tilted to monetary policy being tightened even more swiftly."
  • SEB: "The Riksbank will once again be forced to revise the near-term inflation forecast markedly higher in September and the probability for a 75bps rate hike in September has increased significantly. Given deteriorating growth the outlook for the December meeting is more uncertain, but the extremely strong upturn for inflation implies significant upside risks to our current forecast for a 25bps in December."

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