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T-Notes a touch softer to start Asia-Pac....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: T-Notes a touch softer to start Asia-Pac trade, last -0-04 at 139-05+,
off the late NY highs. Belly of the curve outperformed in cash trade on Thurs,
as -ve rates fever gripped markets with some of the '21 Fed Funds contracts
trading > 100.00. TD Securities were quick to note that the space may be
experiencing "a repositioning or short squeeze" while UBS noted that "there are
4.7T reasons why negative rates are much more problematic in the US" as the MMF
industries "business model would come under severe strain if rates were
negative." UBS also suggested the move was likely dealer/fund stop out of
positions vs. bank portfolios. Potential triggers for the move include Fed's
Bostic pointing to the Fed using its full arsenal, while bond investor Gundlach
noted "these Trillions Treasury is borrowing is heavily in T-Bills. Chair Powell
has stated in plain English he is opposed to negative interest rates. Yet the
pressure to go negative on Fed Funds will build as short term borrowing explodes
and dominates. Please, no. Rates < 0 = Fatal." N.B. Fed's Barkin & Harker were
quick to play down -ve rates. Asia reaction to Thursday's moved eyed ahead of
Friday's NFP (which should be discounted by markets by now).
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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