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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Tapestry (TPR; Baa2, BBB+; double Neg)
Earnings coming up in US pre-market - we don't see as important unless it has any surprise comments on Capri acquisition - its been confident it can fight off the FTC block thus far - any change to that is bearish to bonds (101 call risk gets priced in more).
- We noted late on Friday that €27/31s looked (very) rich on rising cash prices - that view is unch & as mentioned then we caution investors hedging rates on these lines - px not spreads are the driver of FV here.
- We have a screen cheap on the € Nov 25s (mids €101.35/Z+96) that's valid through BVAL offer side (we are pricing to €101.5)
- Our FV on deal closing includes a downgrade to Baa3 (expected) leaving lines a tad north of PVH (Baa3/BBB-; double pos). We are less concerned with HY rating risk given 25bp/agency coupon step ups on € lines (for S&P & Moody's) to max 200bps.
Background on co; Tapestry is a lux retailer that generates most/75% of sales from Coach , the handbag & leather goods brand. its US heavy (60%) with remaining mostly from China (15%) & Japan (9%). The $8.5b cash acquisition ($57 share price) of Capri (announced August) would nearly double its size (Tapestry sales $6.7b currently) as it brings in Michael Kors ($3.6b in sales), Versace ($1b) & Jimmy Choo ($600m) brands - together its expected to dominate the "accessible luxury" handbag market in US (Capri US focused as well). It prefunded the deal with $4.5b/5-part & €1.5b/3-part deals - special mandatory 101 redemption clause on deal failing the focus for us over last couple of months.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.