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Term Structure: Flatter in Hungary, Shift Higher in Poland

CEE
  • In recent weeks, we have seen that the aggressive hikes by CEE central banks to curb the inflationary pressures, leading to a sharp rise in ST interest rates.
  • On the other hand, the rise in uncertainty over the economic outlook may limit the downside risk on LT bonds, therefore leading to a sharp flattening of the yield curves.
  • While the 2Y10Y yield curve in Poland is trading back into positive territory after inverting earlier this month, it is still inverted in Czech Republic.
  • In Hungary, the term structure has flattened sharply in the past month (see chart below).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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