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Terminal BoE Policy Rate Pricing Back to 5.85%

STIR

BoE-dated OIS continues its tick away from the dovish extremes registered around yesterday’s BoE decision, which is promoting some bear flattening on the Gilt curve. ~23.5bp of tightening is showing for next month’s decision, while terminal policy rate pricing has regained the 5.85% mark after showing below 5.75% around the BoE decision.

  • Post-decision press interviews with BoE Governor Bailey saw him reaffirm the higher for longer narrative re: rates, while the Bank remained relatively non-committal when it came to the prospect of further rate hikes, outside of noting that it will tighten policy further if the data indicates that such a move is warranted.
  • A quick reminder that BoE chief economist Pill will speak with BoE agents at the top of the hour.
BoE MeetingSONIA BoE-Dated OIS (%)Difference Vs. Current Effective SONIA Rate (bp)
Sep-235.417+23.5
Nov-235.588+40.6
Dec-235.706+52.4
Feb-245.772+58.9
Mar-245.791+60.9
May-245.781+59.9
Jun-245.743+56.1

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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