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Thailand Eases Covid-19 Restrictions, USD/THB Forms Bullish Flag

THB

Spot USD/THB has extended gains this morning after last week's FOMC-driven upswing, breaking above a short-term channel top. The move may have resulted in the formation of a bullish flag pattern, with bulls on the lookout for a further confirmation. The rate last trades +0.060 at THB31.510.

  • Should the pair punch through Apr 12 high/200-WMA, which kick in at THB31.575/31.581, bulls could target Sep 28, 2020 high of THB31.745, followed by Jul 24, 2020 high/61.8% retracement of the 2020 sell-off at THB31.858/31.871. Bears look for a dip through the 50-DMA at THB31.290, towards Jun 11 low of THB31.030.
  • Thailand confirmed Friday that the details of the "Phuket Sandbox" have been finalised and the resort island will waive quarantine requirement for fully vaccinated foreign visitors on Jul 1.
  • Fitch affirmed Thailand's sovereign credit rating at BBB+ on Friday, leaving outlook at stable.
  • Thailand begins to ease its Covid-19 rules from today. Bangkok lifts capacity limits for non-air-conditioned restaurants, reopens pools and libraries, among others.

Fig. 1: USD/THB (Weekly)

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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