Free Trial

###The 10-yr/30-yr Gilt yield spread broke....>

GILTS
GILTS: ###The 10-yr/30-yr Gilt yield spread broke above 60bps earlier Monday,
the first time since Sep 19 after widening over 6bps following Bank of England
dovish rate hike on Thursday.
- Now that the BoE monetary policy decision is out of the way, attention is
turning back to the Brexit negotiations and the likely hood of talks moving onto
a future trade deal by the end of the year or in Q1 2018. Carney over the
weekend said that Brexit is holding back UK growth as uncertainty is weighing on
business. Carney's ongoing comments on Brexit would suggest that if negotiations
went well it may prompt a rethink on the current rate path direction.
- POV: There appears to be some behind the scenes talks between the key leaders
of the UK, EU, Germany and France, with the latest article from the Sunday Times
saying that UK signals it is willing to pay Stg53bln leads to EU negotiators to
start outlining a future trade deal. If the talks come to fruition and come the
end of the year talks move onto a future trade deal and the atmosphere improves
between the 2 negotiating teams, then market could start pricing in a higher
path of interest rates, leading to 10s/30s to flatten again.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.