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The Big 4 banks weigh in in the wake of.........>

RBA
RBA: The Big 4 banks weigh in in the wake of Governor Lowe's latest address:
- ANZ: A rate cut next week looks likely, although mkts were disappointed with
the lack of a clear signal. We think the Bank has had an accumulation of
evidence over the past 2 months - rising unemp., falling consumer conf., further
global monetary easing - that suggests that further cuts are required.
- CBA: The Gov. sounded particular downbeat on the global econ & downside risks
generated by geopolitical developments. Lowe implied that developments in the
global econ & the decisions of other central banks to ease policy appear to be
more important than usual at this stage in RBA deliberations.
- NAB: We still think it is more likely that the RBA will cut rates next week
given the downside risks to global growth, spare capacity in the labour mkt &
subpar GDP growth, there are few signs yet that tax cuts are boosting spending.
- Westpac: Lowe said Australia's econ is at a "gentle turning point" &
reiterated he's prepared to cut interest rates if needed to support the
recovery, but he did not signal an imminent move which some in the market had
been hoping for.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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