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GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW
GERMAN AUCTION PREVIEW: The Deutsche Finanzagentur re-opens the 2.5% Aug-46 Buxl
on Wednesday for E1bln, the only EGB auction of the week.
- BACKGROUND: The Aug-46 was last tapped on Apr 11, for E1.5bln at 1.12% average
yield in a technically uncovered auction (real cover 0.7x, Buba cover 1.0x).
- RV/HISTORY: In a thin week of supply, Wednesday`s auction could provide
indications of safe-haven appetite. German bonds have rallied since the middle
of last week, on both Italian and Turkish concerns. At 0.934%, the Aug-46 Buxl
is yielding the least since Apr 2017, and 19bps below the previous auction.
While the curve has greatly flattened since the beginning of the year, with the
25-30-yr segment outperforming partly on speculation of ECB `Operation Twist`,
the belly of the curve has been outperforming since the Apr 11 Buxl auction.
Amid the past week`s risk aversion, the Aug-46 is near its lifetime largest
spread inside the Italian BTP equivalent 2046 at 261.9bps, surpassing the May
premium. That said, the Aug-46 is now trading the cheapest to equivalent swaps
(58.8bps inside) of any German bond between 2028 and 2046 maturity.
- TIMING: Results are due soon after the auction closes at 0930GMT.

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