Free Trial

The heavily awaited YouGov MRP model hit.........>

UK
UK: The heavily awaited YouGov MRP model hit during the NY/Asia crossover, and
contained the following seat projections for the Dec 12 General Election:
- Con 359 (+42) Lab 211 (-51) L Dem (+1) SNP 43 (+8) Plaid 4 (-) Green 1 (-)
Speaker 1 (-).
- That equates to a Conservative majority of 68 seats.
- However, it is worth noting that the projected margins of victory are below 5%
in at least 30 seats predicted to be Conservative, meaning that trends in the
upcoming polls remain key.
- The YouGov MRP also suggested that "Labour will win no new seats."
- A similar MRP model from Best for Britain, released earlier Wednesday,
suggested that the Conservatives could end up with a majority of 82 seats.
- Elsewhere, the latest Savanta ComRes Westminster voting intention poll
continued the recent trend of a narrowing Conservative lead, with the results as
follows: CON: 41% (-1) LAB: 34% (+2) LDEM: 13% (-2) BREX: 5% (-) GRN: 2% (-)
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.