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The steady appetite for risk since.....>

US TSY FLOWS
US TSY FLOWS: The steady appetite for risk since NFP faltered Wed, rates broke
higher early w/Bunds on German finmin headlines re: stimulus. Large Tsy call
option buy (100k TYZ 131 calls) in addition to over +13k TYZ futures block buys
continued to support Tsys through midmorning.
- But it was midday headlines that US/China official will delaying trade talk to
December followed by Europe NOT the US would be continent where deal MAY be
signed if one can be agreed upon. Rates gap lower then surge back to near
session highs. Despite trade apprehension, chances of fourth rate cut in
December remained below 10%.
- In addition to option hedging and block buys, flow included decent deal-tied
hedging, program, prop and fast$ buying across the curve on headlines. Strong US
Tsy $27 10Y note auction (912828YS3) stopped through: awarded 1.809% rate
(1.590% in October) vs. 1.818% WI; 2.49 bid/cover (2.46 previous). Indirects
drew 64.54% vs. 58.53%, directs 12.37% vs. 12.79%, and 23.09% for dealers.
- The 2-Yr yield is down 2bps at 1.6045%, 5-Yr is down 3.6bps at 1.6278%, 10-Yr
is down 4.3bps at 1.8159%, and 30-Yr is down 3.9bps at 2.2994%.

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