Free Trial

There's Always Time For Diplomacy

US TSYS
Risk-on early London hours: Russia/Ukraine tensions cool after reports that Russia withdrawing some troops from Ukraine border. NATO head Stoltenberg said there's "no concrete sign of de-escalation", yet remains "cautiously optimistic", Bbg.
  • Tsys extended lows after the bell (30YY tapped 2.3669% high) as US President Biden commented on Ukraine situation: "As long as there is hope for diplomatic resolution, we will pursue it. Russian defense ministry reported some units are leaving but US has not verified this yet. Analysts believes they are still in a very threatening position." However, Biden added "invasion remains distinctly possible and Americans should leave Ukraine now. If Russia attacks Ukraine it will be a war of choice not of necessity."
  • Higher than forecasted PPI for Jan (+1.0% vs. 0.05% est) weighed on FI and pre-open stocks.
  • Contributing to bear steepening (5s30s +5.5 at 42.69 late), trading desks report real$ buying short end and separately selling 30s, deal-tied rate lock selling keeping pressure on as markets hedged $6B Bristol Myers 4pt jumbo (10s, 20s, 30s and 40s).
  • Eurodollar/Treasury option flow was mixed, two-way call interest in the former: Scale buyer 38,000 short Sep 99.00 calls, 2.0 ref: 97.615-.62, after a Block sale of -20,000 Sep 98.50/98.75 call spds, 0.5 over Sep 97.37 puts vs. 98.33/0.30%.
  • After the close 2-Yr yield is down 0.5bps at 1.5692%, 5-Yr is up 2.4bps at 1.9351%, 10-Yr is up 5.8bps at 2.0451%, and 30-Yr is up 7.5bps at 2.3609%.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.