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Tight Day Thursday, Fedspeak Eyed On Friday

US TSYS

TYZ1 flat at the re-open, last -0-01 at 130-17+, a little shy of Thursday's peak. To recap, Thursday saw the curve twist flatten with 2s and 3s incrementally cheaper on the day, while the remainder of the Tsy benchmarks richened by ~0.5-1.5bp, with 20s outperforming. Thursday provided a relatively limited session all told, with the latest Philly Fed survey seen to be mimicking the movements witnessed in the Empire m'fing survey which hit earlier this week (notable uptick in headline, with price pressures building), while initial weekly jobless claims saw a smaller than expected dip (it would have been a modest uptick without an upward revision to the prior week) and continuing jobless claims saw a larger than expected downtick. Early price action was shaped by a block sale of WN futures (-2,145), which was followed up by a block buy of TY futures (+8,650). 10-Year TIPS supply was well received, stopping through at a record low yield. Dealer participation moderated, although the degree of stop through and cover ratio were softer than the prior round of 10-Year TIPS supply.

  • In the short-end, TD Securities were the latest sell-side name to recommend a Eurodollar steepener, flagging the EDU3/U4 spread as their preferred expression.
  • There isn't anything in the way of tier 1 risk events slated for Asia-Pac hours on Friday. NY hours will be headlined by Fedspeak from Vice Chair Clarida & Governor Waller.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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