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OIL: Trade Tensions Threatening Oil Demand As OPEC+ Boosts Output: IEA

OIL

Trade tensions are threatening oil demand as OPEC+ boosts supply, according to latest IEA report. 

  • The IEA expects oil demand of 103.9m b/d this year, representing a 100k b/d downward revision to last month’s forecast, citing a deterioration in macroeconomic conditions amidst rising trade tensions.
  • The IEA’s current balance suggests that supply may exceed demand by 600k b/d this year.
  • If OPEC+ extends the unwinding of output cuts beyond April, without reining in supply from overproducing members, another 400k b/d could be added to the market, the IEA said.
  • Asia is expected to account for almost 60% of demand gains this year, led by China, where petrochemical feedstocks will provide the entirety of growth as demand for refined fuels plateau. 
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Trade tensions are threatening oil demand as OPEC+ boosts supply, according to latest IEA report. 

  • The IEA expects oil demand of 103.9m b/d this year, representing a 100k b/d downward revision to last month’s forecast, citing a deterioration in macroeconomic conditions amidst rising trade tensions.
  • The IEA’s current balance suggests that supply may exceed demand by 600k b/d this year.
  • If OPEC+ extends the unwinding of output cuts beyond April, without reining in supply from overproducing members, another 400k b/d could be added to the market, the IEA said.
  • Asia is expected to account for almost 60% of demand gains this year, led by China, where petrochemical feedstocks will provide the entirety of growth as demand for refined fuels plateau.