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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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MNI FOMC Hawk-Dove Spectrum
Treasuries Futures Trend Lower, US CPI Later
TYH4 is currently trading at 110-20, - 03 from New York closing levels.
Treasuries are trading in a very small range during the Asia session, volumes have remained low, ahead of US CPI later today.
- Treasuries futures have traded rangebound today, hitting a low of 110-19+ and a high of 110-23+, and currently trading at 110-20, volatility is expected to remain low heading into the US session.
- Taking a look at the technical levels ahead of US CPI later today - Mar'24 10Y future levels to watch on the downside are 110-16 Dec 13 & Feb 9 lows, a break of 109-31+ the Dec 11 lows, would opens a bigger move down to 109-17, 50.0% of the Oct 19 - Dec 27 bull phase. To the upside a break above 111-09 the 20-day EMA, opens up a move to the Feb 1 highs of 113-06+, which could then put in play the 113-12 the Dec 12 high and bull trigger.
- Cash yields have done little today, the curve is unchanged to 0.3bps wider. The 10yr sits at 4.181% challenging last week's highs, but has yet to make any material test on the key 4.20%, a break above 4.20% post CPI could open up a move to the Dec 12 highs of 4.28%.
- MNI US CPI Preview: Used Cars Drag Seen Clashing With Firmer Non-Housing Services ( https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/59940/USCPIPrevFeb2024.pdf )
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
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