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Free AccessTrump Maintains Strong Lead In GOP Primary Race But Support "Softening"
A new survey from the New York Times has found that former President Donald Trump leads his primary challenges, “across nearly every category and region....”
- NYT: “The survey comes less than six months before the first 2024 primary contest and... his trials threaten to overlap with primary season — pose an especially unpredictable wild card.”
- Another widely reported poll fromNPR/PBShas found that Trump’s legal troubles have led to a “softening” of support amongst Republicans.
- NPR reports that, although Trump remains clear favourite, “Republicans and Republican-leaning independents saying they believe Trump has done "nothing wrong" dropped 9 points in the last month, from 50% to 41%... Trump also dropped 6 points in support with that same group when asked whether they were more likely to support Trump or another candidate, if he continues to run for president.”
- NPR: “At the same time, though, Trump has become increasingly toxic with the political middle... A slim majority — 51% — of respondents overall said they think Trump did something illegal, including 52% of independents.”
Figure 2: Republicans’ Preferences for the 2024 Presidential Nominee
Source: NYT, Siena Poll
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.