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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
US
Betting markets have downgraded former President Donald Trump’s chances of winning the 2024 Presidential election following his appearance on CNN on Wednesday.
- According to data from Smarkets, Trump’s implied probability of winning the election dropped from 28% shortly before the CNN ‘town hall’ to 23% after the event.
- New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, a potential rival for the 2024 GOP nomination, said of Trump's CNN appearance: "It was weak. It was defensive. It was bitter ... it just reiterated the idea that he cannot win in November. He could get the nomination, but he cannot win in November."
- Republican operative Matt Whitlock tweeted shortly after the event: "Tonight highlighted the toughest dynamic Republicans face - President Trump's performance tonight had plenty of fun fodder for his biggest fans. But was toxic nuclear waste for the moderates and independents he (and Republicans everywhere) should be winning as Biden collapses."
- President Biden tweeted: “It’s simple, folks. Do you want four more years of that?”
Figure 2: 2024 US Presidential Election Winner
Source: Smarkets
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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