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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessTsy Yld Surge: 30YY at 3.016%, 3Y Highs
Rates trading near session lows after the bell -- yield curves bear flattening after tapping 2-week highs in early trade.
- Fresh cycle lows after slightly stronger than forecasted Housing Starts (1.793M) and Building Permits (1.873M) for March.
- Yield curves reversed late overnight steepening, extending flatter amid heavy selling in short end since the open: 2YY surging to 2.6102% high from 2.4273% low. 2s10s curve hit inverted low of -9.561 two weeks ago topped out at 42.897 this morning is trading 33.590 at the moment. 30YY tops 3.0161% - appr 3-year highs.
- Early blocks contributing (-2s/ultra bond, outright sale 2s) as recession concerns, ability of Fed to engineer a soft landing being sapped after leading hawk StL Fed Bullard opened dialog on chance of 75bp hike at May 4 FOMC late Monday.
- Late rebuttal from Chicago Fed Evans and Atl Fed Bostic -- neither see more than a 50bp hike in the near term as necessary.
- Meanwhile, IMF joined World bank opinion from late Monday: knock-on effect of Russia invasion reducing global growth/increase inflation forecasts.
- Cross asset levels: Gold selling off after nearly topping $2,000 Mon, -31.3 at 1947.5; support for Crude cools: WTI -5.53 at 102.68.
- On tap for Wednesday: Existing Home Sales (6.02M, 5.78M); MoM (-7.2%, -4.0%) at 1000ET, more Fed speak ahead late Friday blackout.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.