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Tsys were weaker by the bell,..........>

US TSY/RECAP
US TSY/RECAP: Tsys were weaker by the bell, although a large Block buyer of 20K
FVZ8 through the offer helped the complex off of lows late on. Yields edged
higher, with the belly experiencing some slight underperformance. Truth be told
it was a relatively quiet session ahead of the expected 25bp hike from the FOMC
tomorrow, while continued selling in the short end has pushed chances of an
additional Fed rate hike at year end above 90%.
- The latest 5-Year auction produced a 0.4bp tail, as the cover ratio eased and
sat a touch softer than the recent auction average, while dealer participation
edged higher, topping the recent auction average. It was a less than inspiring
auction, coming on the heels of a soft 2-Year auction Monday, with demand
suffering ahead of tomorrow's FOMC MonPol decision (where a hike is expected).
- While markets are pricing in tighter policy odds for year end & beyond, some
large option & futures plays are trading, hedging a less aggressive Fed by end
'19: large buying Eurodollar Dec'19 1yr mid-curve upside calls funded by large
selling downside puts; in futures: over +50k EDZ9 vs. EDZ0 at 0.045.
- T-Notes last 118.14+, U.S. 10-Year cash Tsy yields closed at 3.096%.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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