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Free AccessTTF Extends Pull Back Amid Mild Weather and High Storage
TTF front month continues to pull back with relatively mild weather and high storage levels offsetting supply side risks from the Middle East and Australia LNG strikes.
- TTF NOV 23 down -3.4% at 46.83€/MWh
- TTF Q1 24 down -2.4% at 52.76€/MWh
- TTF SUM 24 down -1.9% at 51.19€/MWh
- The latest weather forecast shows temperatures in NW and central Europe holding mostly near or slightly above normal throughout the coming two weeks although with a dip cooler early next week.
- Norwegian pipeline supplies to Europe are relatively unchanged in recent days with today nominated at 329mcm/d amid some unplanned capacity reductions. Small field and processing plant curtailments are expected into the first week of November according to Gassco.
- European natural gas storage is up to the highest in over ten years at 97.95% full on 15 Oct according to GIE data after high end of season injection rates.
- LNG net import flows were at 285mcm/d on 15 Oct according to Bloomberg compared to approximately 375mcm/d seen this time last year.
- Gas transit flows through Ukraine are at 42.4mcm/d today and Algeria gas flow to Italy at Mazara are today estimated up to 75.1mcm/d today.
- ICE TTF daily aggregate traded volumes eased lower yesterday back to 315k contracts.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.