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UK GfK Highest Since Dec-21

UK DATA

UK GfK Consumer Confidence rose slightly more than expected by 2 points to -17 (vs -18 consensus, -19 prior) in May, and rose 10 points on a year-on-year basis - the highest level seen since December 2021.

  • 4 of 5 subcomponents improved. In particular the 'Personal Financial Situation over next 12 months' component rose 5 points to 7 points (vs -8 in May 2023), the 'General Economic Situation over next 12 months' component rose 4 points to -17 making it 13 points higher than May 2023 levels, although it remains negative.
  • Meanwhile the 'Major Purchase index' component fell by 1 point to -26 - 2 points lower than the May 2023 level.
  • While again, the overall index remains negative, 4 of 5 subcomponents improved since May last year.
  • The chart below shows, that although the progress is slowing, as inflation continues to soften consumer confidence continues to rise. The Client Strategy Director says "with the latest drop in headline inflation and the prospect of interest rate cuts in due course, the trend is certainly positive... All in all, consumers are clearly sensing that conditions are improving. This good result anticipates further growth in confidence in the months to come."
  • May's survey was conducted among a sample of 2,009 individuals from May 1st to May 15th.

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UK GfK Consumer Confidence rose slightly more than expected by 2 points to -17 (vs -18 consensus, -19 prior) in May, and rose 10 points on a year-on-year basis - the highest level seen since December 2021.

  • 4 of 5 subcomponents improved. In particular the 'Personal Financial Situation over next 12 months' component rose 5 points to 7 points (vs -8 in May 2023), the 'General Economic Situation over next 12 months' component rose 4 points to -17 making it 13 points higher than May 2023 levels, although it remains negative.
  • Meanwhile the 'Major Purchase index' component fell by 1 point to -26 - 2 points lower than the May 2023 level.
  • While again, the overall index remains negative, 4 of 5 subcomponents improved since May last year.
  • The chart below shows, that although the progress is slowing, as inflation continues to soften consumer confidence continues to rise. The Client Strategy Director says "with the latest drop in headline inflation and the prospect of interest rate cuts in due course, the trend is certainly positive... All in all, consumers are clearly sensing that conditions are improving. This good result anticipates further growth in confidence in the months to come."
  • May's survey was conducted among a sample of 2,009 individuals from May 1st to May 15th.