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Free AccessUK political uncertainty helped push....>
EGB SUMMARY: UK political uncertainty helped push Bunds higher by the end of the
day after thin trading in a narrow range, with peripheries paring gains.
- Sep8 Bund futures had sold off as much as 47 ticks and curves steepened
earlier on a combination of weaker USTs, supply (EFSF dual tranche
announcement), and ECB's Draghi expressing confidence in inflation convergence.
- But UK Foreign Sec Boris Johnson's resignation put focus back on Brexit risks,
with the safe-haven bid pushing Bund futures back up to 162.55, off 26 ticks on
the day. 2s10s Bunds 0.7bps steeper at 95.3bps, down from 96.5bps high.
- Periphery spreads roughly tracked these moves. The 10-year BTP spread to Bunds
fell to a low of 236.1bps, but now 237.4bps, 4.9bps narrower on the day.
- Longer-dated Euribor futures looked offered earlier amid thin volumes but have
recovered nearly all losses, with Green and Blue contracts off 0.5-1.0 ticks.
- Supply looking like a mounting theme weighing on EGBs this week, with heavy
sale/zero redemptions schedule (Netherlands/Germany kick off auctions Tuesday)
complemented by speculation regarding long-dated issuance amid an ECB 'operation
twist' (Reuters reporting Belgium mulling 40/50-year sales).
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.