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Free AccessUnexpected Majority For PM Costa Supports Policy Stability
Portuguese Prime Minister Antonio Costa and his centre-left Socialist Party (PS) won an unexpected majority in the snap general election held on 30 January, providing the PM with a platform to continue his broadly market-friendly policy agenda.
- Opinion polls prior to the election, showing the PS losing ground to the centre-rigth Social Democrats (PSD), proved to be ill-founded, with the PS winning at least an additional nine seats, taking its total to 117 seats out of 230 according to partial results.
Source: Ministério da Administração Interna, MNI. Four seats yet to be declared.
- Costa's majority comes largely at the expense of the two far-left parties that had previously propped up the PS, the communist Unitary Democratic Coaliton and the left-wing populist Left Bloc, which lost six and 14 seats respectively. These two parties brought about the snap election, having voted down the gov'ts budget in late-2021.
- Following the confirmation of his party winning a majority, Costa confirmed that he would still seek to have as broad support as possible for this gov'ts agenda. Nevertheless, the securing of the first parliamentary majority since then-PM Jose Socrates won 121 seats for the PS in the 2005 election will allow Costa a degree of flexibility that was not the case during the previous gov't.
- Should be noted the strong performance of parties of the right, with the nationalist CHEGA and the libertarian Liberal Initiative both making strong gains to become the third and fourth-largest parties in the Assembly of the Republic.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.