Free Trial

Up on the open

SONIA
  • SONIA futures have moved a little higher this morning following the UK CPI print. The strip has moved largely in line with the print coming in in line with expectations rather than beating expectations.
  • We think this is probably because the surprise came in clothing - and given the nature of the surprise, a category that could easily see a reversal next month.
  • If this is the case, then the upside to CPI this morning can largely be dismissed.
  • There's still a lot priced into the curve (too much in our opinion) and we remain vulnerable to further moves higher, although positioning is probably a bit cleaner after yesterday's moves.
  • We now price 42bp by the March MPC meeting, a cumulative 82bp by May and 104bp by the June meeting.
  • Whites are up 2.5-3.0 ticks with Reds 3.0-4.0 ticks higher.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.