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WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
Personal Income for August (percent change)
Friday, September 28 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Aug18 Jul18 Jun18
Income +0.4% +0.3% to +0.5% -- +0.3% +0.4%
Spending +0.4% +0.3% to +0.4% -- +0.4% +0.4%
Core Prices +0.1% +0.0% to +0.2% -- +0.2% +0.1%
Comments: Personal income is expected to rise by 0.4% in August, as
payrolls rose by 201,000 and hourly earnings rose by 0.4%, while average
weekly hours stayed at 34.5 hours. Current dollar PCE is forecast to
rise by 0.4% after a 0.4% July gain that could see an upward revision
based on the retail sales data. Total retail sales rose by only 0.1% in
the month after an upward revised 0.7% July gain. Sales were up 0.3% in
August excluding a 0.8% decline in motor vehicle sales. Retail sales
excluding autos, gas, building materials and food services were up only
0.1% after an upward revised 0.8% July gain. The core PCE price index is
expected to post a 0.1% increase in August, so the y/y rate could hold
steady at 2.0%.
MNI Chicago Report for September (index)
Friday, September 28 at 9:45 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Sep18 Aug18 Jul18
MNI Chicago 62.0 60.0 to 64.5 -- 63.6 65.5
Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI is expected to decline further to a
reading of 62.0 in September after dipping slightly to 63.6 in August.
Other regional data already released have suggested an improved growth
pace, with the Empire State reading falling back modestly, but the
Philadelphia Fed rebounding solidly.
University of Michigan Survey for September (final)
Friday, September 28 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Sep18f Sep18p Aug18
Consumer Sent 100.8 100.8 to 101.0 -- 100.8 96.2
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to be unrevised
at 100.8 reading in September, still well above the 96.2 reading in
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: email@example.com