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Market News Topics
December 21, 2018 19:12 GMT
US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 22:06 GMT Dec 21/17:06 EST Dec 21
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Weekly Jobless Claims for December 22 week
Thursday, December 27 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec22 Dec15 Dec08
Weekly Claims -- 214k 206k
Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to hold
roughly steady in the December 22 week after an increase of 8,000 to
214,000 level in the previous week. The prevalence of holidays in
November and December make seasonal adjustment difficult at the end of
the year. The four-week moving average would decline in the coming week
as the 235,000 level in the November 24 week rolls out of the
calculation, assuming the MNI forecast is correct and there are no
revisions.
New Home Sales for November (annual rate)
Thursday, December 27 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Nov18 Oct18 Sep18
New Homes 544k 544k to 544k -- 544k 597k
Comments: New home sales are expected to remain near a 544,000
annual rate in November following a sharp decline in October. Unadjusted
sales were down 14.3% from a year earlier in October. Meanwhile, home
supply was up 4.3% month/month and 17.5% year/year, so prices have
pushed lower.
Conference Board Consumer Confidence for December (index)
Thursday, December 27 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec18 Nov18 Oct18
Confidence 134.6 133.0 to 135.0 -- 135.7 137.9
Comments: The index of consumer confidence is expected to fall
further to a reading of 134.6 in December after small November decline.
However,the Michigan Sentiment index rose to 98.3 in December from 97.5
in November.
MNI Chicago Report for December (index)
Friday, December 28 at 9:45 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Dec18 Nov18 Oct18
MNI Chicago -- 66.4 58.4
Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI is expected to pull back in December
after a sharp rise to 66.4 in November. Other regional data already
released have suggested softer conditions, with the Empire State, Kansas
City and Philadelphia Fed indexes all down from November.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
Close
Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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