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Free AccessUS Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts
Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 21:06 GMT May 30/17:06 EST May 30
WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the
median forecasts.
Personal Income for April (percent change)
Friday, May 31 at 8:30 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range Apr19 Mar19 Feb19
Income +0.3% +0.2% to +0.4% -- +0.1% +0.2%
Spending +0.2% +0.1% to +0.4% -- +0.9% +0.1%
Core Prices +0.2% +0.1% to +0.3% -- Flat +0.1%
Comments: Personal income is expected to rise by 0.3% in April, as
payrolls and hours worked rose by 263,000, while hourly earnings rose
0.2%. PCE for April is expected to be up only 0.2%, based on the much
softer retail sales data for the month, after rising by 0.9% in the
March. Core PCE prices are expected to rise 0.2% in April, which should
keep the year/year rate at 1.6%, depending on rounding. Core PCE prices
rose by 0.2% in April 2018.
MNI Chicago Report for May (index)
Friday, May 31 at 9:45 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range May19 Apr19 Mar19
MNI Chicago 53.8 51.0 to 56.4 -- 52.6 58.7
Comments: The MNI Chicago PMI is expected to partially rebound to a
reading of 53.9 in May after a further dip to 52.6 in April. Other
regional data already released have been mixed, with the Empire and
Philadelphia measures up, but the Kansas City reading down.
University of Michigan Survey for May (final)
Friday, May 31 at 10:00 a.m. ET Actual:
Median Range May19f May19p Apr19
Consumer Sent 102.0 100.9 to 102.4 -- 102.4 97.2
Comments: The Michigan Sentiment index is expected to be revised
down to a reading of 102.0 in May after jumping to 102.4 in the
preliminary estimate. The data suggest no real concern about the
US-China trade negotiations.
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 (973) 494-2611; email: harrison.clarke@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.