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US Data: Highlights of MNI Survey of Economic Forecasts

Repeats Story Initially Transmitted at 20:06 GMT Mar 7/15:06 EST Mar 7
     WASHINGTON (MNI) - The following are highlights of forecasts for   
upcoming U.S. economic indicators provided by participants in the MNI   
weekly survey. The comment section presents the key elements behind the 
median forecasts.                                                               
Weekly Jobless Claims for March 3 week                                  
 Thursday, March 8 at 8:30 a.m. ET                       Actual:        
                 Median         Range                Mar03  Feb24  Feb17
 Weekly Claims     220k      215k to 225k               --   210k   220k
     Comments: The level of initial jobless claims is expected to rise  
by 10,000 to 220,000 in the March 3 week, fully reversing the 10,000    
decline in the previous week to a 49-year low. The four-week moving     
average would fall by 750 in the coming week, as the 223,000 level in   
the February 3 week drops out of the calculation, assuming the MNI      
forecast is correct and there are no revisions.                         
Nonfarm Payrolls for February (change in thousands)                     
 Friday, March 9 at 8:30 a.m. ET                         Actual:        
               Median         Range                  Feb18  Jan18  Dec17
 Payrolls       +210k    +175k to +250k                 --  +200k  +160k
 Private Job    +200k    +185k to +220k                 --  +196k  +156k
 Jobless Rate    4.0%     4.0% to 4.1%                  --   4.1%   4.1%
 Hrly Earnings  +0.2%    +0.1% to +0.3%                 --  +0.3%  +0.4%
 Avg Wkly Hrs    34.4     34.4 to 34.5                  --   34.3   34.5
     Comments: Nonfarm payrolls are forecast to rise by 210,000 in      
February after a stronger-than-expected 200,000 reading in January. The 
unemployment rate is expected to dip to 4.0%. Hourly earnings are       
forecast to rise only 0.2% after a 0.3% gain in January that reflected  
difficulties with low wage hourly workers getting to work due to        
weather, while the average workweek is expected to rebound to 34.4 hours
after dipping to 34.3 in January for the same reason.                           
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 202-371-2121; email: holly.stokes@marketnews.com

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