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US Data: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectations Survey>

Data For:           June 2018
Source: NY Federal Reserve Consumer Expectation Survey
Units are either median percent change or median probability
         Pct Change     Pct Change   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg
          1-yr infl      3-yr infl            Gas           Food
Jan18          2.71           2.79           4.34           4.34
Feb18          2.83           2.88           4.29           4.31
Mar18          2.75           2.91           4.62           4.49
Apr18          2.98           2.97           4.76           4.65
May18          2.98           2.96           5.21           4.47
Jun18          2.98           3.00           4.81           4.43
       1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg   1-Yr Pct Chg
            Medical        College           Rent           Gold
Jan18          9.24           7.77           5.45           2.93
Feb18          9.12           5.98           5.34           2.58
Mar18          8.82           5.91           5.19           2.95
Apr18          8.90           6.30           5.51           2.99
May18          9.30           6.74           5.71           2.94
Jun18          9.63           7.02           5.67           2.69
                                   1-yr Household 1-yr Household    1-yr Change
      Pct Growth In Pct  Growth In  Income Growth Spending Growth      In Taxes
        Home Prices       Earnings     Pct Change     Pct Change     Pct Change
Jan18          3.46           2.73           2.76           2.85           1.64
Feb18          3.33           2.67           2.97           2.95           1.50
Mar18          3.48           2.61           2.87           3.08           1.67
Apr18          3.69           2.67           2.85           3.27           1.93
May18          3.66           2.54           2.62           2.96           2.18
Jun18          3.92           2.71           2.72           3.35           2.21
     Probability Of Probability Of
       Higher Unemp   Higher Stock      1-yr Govt
         Rates 1-yr    Prices 1-yr    Debt Growth
           From Now       From Now     Pct Change
Jan18         32.38          44.90           5.89
Feb18         32.25          43.02           7.53
Mar18         34.45          42.02           6.95
Apr18         34.94          41.51           7.61
May18         34.13          42.01           7.63
Jun18         34.27          40.42           6.58
                    Probability Of The Following Occurring
                Job      Voluntary    Job Finding Change In Home
         Separation     Separation    In 3 Months    Next 12 Mos
Jan18         14.90          22.07          59.74          15.91
Feb18         12.75          21.35          59.70          18.27
Mar18         13.91          19.34          57.57          17.34
Apr18         13.73          20.50          57.08          18.08
May18         13.96          21.35          59.92          17.38
Jun18         15.23          21.35          58.61          18.37
     Probability Of                Probability Of
     Unable To Make                Higher Savings
     Minimum Payment               Acct Interest Rates
         Next 3 Mos                 1-yr From Now
Dec17         12.45                         34.51
Jan18         12.33                         34.87
Feb18         11.56                         36.48
Mar18         10.72                         37.07
Apr18         11.04                         36.80
May18         11.73                         36.43
Jun18         12.41                         37.09
                              Credit Availability Compared With Year Ago
               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much
             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier
Jan18          3.75          20.56          48.37          24.21           3.11
Feb18          4.15          20.54          49.93          22.02           3.37
Mar18          4.24          21.17          52.91          18.51           3.16
Apr18          4.34          22.88          50.73          19.04           3.01
May18          4.79          22.86          48.49          21.60           2.27
Jun18          6.02          21.94          48.47          20.54           3.04
                              Credit Availability Seen Year From Now
               Much       Somewhat        Equally       Somewhat           Much
             Harder         Harder      Easy/Hard         Easier         Easier
Jan18          4.05          21.44          49.85          21.60           3.06
Feb18          4.14          23.44          49.77          19.52           3.14
Mar18          3.61          23.53          53.48          15.99           3.39
Apr18          4.27          24.87          49.80          18.65           2.40
May18          5.12          25.29          48.87          18.50           2.22
Jun18          5.50          25.12          47.69          18.56           3.13
                              Household Finances Compared With Year Ago
               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much
          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off
Jan18          1.43          16.82          43.08          32.87           5.81
Feb18          1.97          14.20          43.60          34.84           5.38
Mar18          2.19          13.31          44.12          34.33           6.05
Apr18          2.59          14.48          44.72          32.47           5.74
May18          2.77          12.47          49.47          29.48           5.81
Jun18          2.17          13.92          48.23          30.83           4.86
                             Household Finances Seen Year From Now
               Much       Somewhat          About       Somewhat           Much
          Worse Off      Worse Off       The Same     Better Off     Better Off
Jan18          0.69          11.82          41.84          37.44           8.21
Feb18          0.48           9.67          44.29          38.18           7.38
Mar18          0.91          10.92          44.22          36.39           7.56
Apr18          0.82          10.98          44.13          37.36           6.70
May18          0.97          12.77          44.58          35.76           5.92
Jun18          1.50          10.30          45.79          37.07           5.35
[TOPICS: MAUDA$,MTABLE]

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