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Economists Survey Raises 2021 CPI Forecast To 4.9%

Release for:  November 2017
Source: U.S. Department of Commerce
Percent change from previous month
Calculated by MNI from unadjusted levels
                                      Nov-17   Oct-17   Sep-17
Retail trade & food services             4.7      1.3     -4.2
 Total (ex.motor vehicle)                6.3      2.3     -4.1
   Retail Trade                          5.8      1.2     -4.4
GAFO                                    #N/A      2.1     -7.3
Motor vehicle & parts dealers           -1.8     -2.5     -4.6
 Auto & other motor veh. dealers        -1.7     -2.8     -4.5
  New car dealers                       #N/A     -2.3     -3.7
  Auto parts, tires                     #N/A      1.6     -5.4
Furniture, home furnishings, electr     12.0     -0.4     -3.8
 Furniture stores                       #N/A     -2.4     -0.7
 Home furnishings stores                #N/A      1.7     -6.9
Electronics & appliance stores          37.1     -1.6     -1.7
 Appl., T.V., &  other elect. store     #N/A     -2.4     -4.8
 Computer & software stores             #N/A     #N/A     #N/A
Building material, garden eq.           -0.7      2.5     -4.3
 Building mat. & supplies dealers       #N/A      2.2     -3.6
Food & beverage stores                   2.1      0.8     -1.9
 Grocery stores                          1.5      0.8     -1.7
 Beer, wine & liquor stores             #N/A      0.0     -2.3
Health & personal care stores           -0.9      3.3     -4.2
 Pharmacies & drug stores               #N/A      5.1     -4.1
Gasoline stations                       -4.1      0.8      0.3
Clothing & accessories stores           20.2      3.0    -12.2
 Men's clothing stores                  #N/A     -0.7      6.2
 Women's clothing stores                #N/A      6.2     -4.1
 Family clothing stores                 #N/A      6.8    -11.4
 Shoe stores                            #N/A     -3.7    -30.0
Sport goods, hobby, book, music         23.9     -6.1    -12.0
General merchandise stores              13.3      3.7     -5.7
 Department stores (ex. L.D.)           34.7      3.1     -9.9
 Department stores (incl. L.D.)         #N/A      3.2     -9.8
 Other general merchandise stores       #N/A      3.8     -4.6
  Warehouse clubs & superstores         #N/A      3.8     -4.9
  All other gen. merch. stores          #N/A      4.3     -2.7
Miscellaneous store retailers           -6.6      4.9     -4.9
Nonstore retailers                      21.3      5.1     -5.5
 Electronic shopping, mail-order        #N/A      4.6     -6.1
Food services & drinking places         -3.8      1.7     -2.6
--
Calculated by MNI:
Total excl motor vehicle, gasoline       7.6      2.5     -4.6
Total excl gasoline                      5.5      1.3     -4.6
Total excl auto and other dealers        6.2      2.3     -4.2
Total ex autos and bldg. materials       6.8      2.3     -4.1
Total ex autos,bldg. materials,gas       8.2      2.4     -4.7
Total ex mv, bldg. materials, gas        8.5      2.5     -4.7
  ** MNI Washington Bureau (202) 371-2121 **
[TOPICS: MAUDT$]