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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessUS DATA: U.Mich Labor Expectations Also On The Mixed Side
- U.Mich consumer sentiment improved by more than expected in the preliminary September report.
- The labor details were mixed with more expecting broader unemployment to increase but no real change in consumer’s own job loss prospects.
- The share expecting unemployment to increase one year out increased from 37% to 39% for its highest since Jun’23. It peaked at 45% in late 2022 whilst it averaged 28% in 2019, 25% in 2015-19).
- The perceived probability of a respondent losing their job within the next five years ticked a tenth higher to 19% although it continues to broadly trend sideways and is much closer to the 17% averaged in 2019 or 18% in 2015-19).
- See the below charts for how they track the unemployment rate.
- Separately, and anecdotally showing little inclination for early retirees to return to the labor force, the probability of receiving an adequate retirement income slightly extended its sharp increase with a 1pt increase to a new high of 46%.

To read the full story
Sign up now for free trial access to this content.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.