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US Flash PMIs Outpace Expectations

US DATA
MNI (London)

US FLASH FEB MFG PMI 57.5; JAN 55.5

FLASH FEB SERVICES PMI 56.7; JAN 51.2

FLASH FEB COMPOSITE PMI 56.0; JAN 51.1

  • The February flash PMIs were significantly stronger than consensus forecasts across the board.
  • The largest upside surprise came from services, which climbed 5.5 points from January. Labour shortages associated with absenteeism eased significantly.
  • Manufacturing strengthened by two points to 57.5 in February, 1.5 points stronger than the forecast.
  • A rebound in demand following omicron-induced restrictions boosted growth in private sector output according to the flash data for February, despite a record rise in prices charged. New business increased the fastest in seven months.
  • Bottlenecks in the manufacturing industry continued to dampen growth, albeit shortages and supply-chain disruptions carried less significance than previous months.
  • Chief Business Economist at IHS Markit Chris Williamson noted "with growth rebounding sharply amid resurgent demand, and price pressures rising again to an all-time high, the survey will add to expectations of a more aggressive policy tightening by the FOMC"

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