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US Has Seen "Pretty Consistent" Progress on Wage Growth

FED
  • Q: One thing that hasn't normalized in the labor market is wage growth - is that a lagging indicator or something else?
    • A: Wage increases peaked a couple of years ago - they've come down but not to where they were before the pandemic, they're roughly a percentage point higher. We've seen pretty consistent progress, but not uniformly: the ECI reading from Tuesday was expected to have come down and essentially it was flat Y/Y I think, roughly. So that part of it is bumpy.
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  • Q: One thing that hasn't normalized in the labor market is wage growth - is that a lagging indicator or something else?
    • A: Wage increases peaked a couple of years ago - they've come down but not to where they were before the pandemic, they're roughly a percentage point higher. We've seen pretty consistent progress, but not uniformly: the ECI reading from Tuesday was expected to have come down and essentially it was flat Y/Y I think, roughly. So that part of it is bumpy.