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US Henry Hub Falls Towards Weekly Low

NATGAS

US Natgas falls back towards the lows of the week at 2.395$/mmbtu after a smaller than expected draw in US gas inventories yesterday and with warming weather in the east. Front month is down from a high of 2.66$/nmmbtu on 14 March with bearish wider market concerns also weighing on prices.

    • US Natgas APR 23 down -4.3% at 2.41$/mmbtu
  • The weather forecast shows temperatures on the far east coast moving above normal in the 6-14 day period while western areas hold onto the cooler weather. Lower 48 dry gas consumption is today estimated just above normal at 82.4bcf/d today according to Bloomberg.
  • EIA weekly gas inventories for the week ending 10 Mar showed a -58bcf draw compared to the 5-year average for this time of year of -95bcf. Total US inventories are near the top of the five year range at 1,972bcf.
  • Pipeline natural gas deliveries to the US LNG export terminals are steady at 13.72bcf/d with supply to Freeport LNG still around 1bcf/d.
  • US production is today estimated relatively unchanged from yesterday at 99.6bcf/d and still well above levels of about 95bcf/d seen this time last year. Exports to Mexico are also unchanged at 5.8bcf/d.

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