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US Natgas Extends Downward Trend on Lower Demand and Steady Exports

NATGAS

US Natgas drifting lower with temperatures in eastern areas increasing to well above normal in the first week of January before falling back towards normal in the second week.

    • US Natgas FEB 23 down -0.9% at 4.65$/mmbtu
  • The market has been trending lower since 16 Dec with delays to the restart of Freeport LNG weighing on prices. Front month is currently trading at the lowest since mid March. Last week Freeport announced a further delay to the restart of LNG export operations until late January.
  • Lower 48 dry gas production continues to recover from the winter freeze last week with today estimated up to 97.3bcf/d compared to an average of 101.3bcf/d in the first half of December.
  • Natural gas consumption continues to fall with the arrival of the warmer weather. Today is estimated back below normal at 82.8bcf/d according to Bloomberg.
  • Deliveries to US LNG export terminals are today estimated back up to 11.93bcf/d with exports to Mexico steady around 6.2bcf/d.

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