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US Producers Need 89$/bbl Oil to Substantially Increase Drilling

ENERGY

Average US oil prices above 64$/bbl and average natural gas prices above 4.32$/mmbtu are required for drilling to be profitable according to the latest energy survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City released on Friday.

  • The survey of shale firms suggested an average oil price of 89$/bbl and average natural gas price of 6.13$/mmbtu were needed for a substantial increase in drilling to occur across the fields in which they are active.
  • Capital discipline, higher costs, and inflation limited US drillers production growth last year. Nearly 40% of firms reported cost inflation and/or supply chain bottlenecks were the biggest drag on crude oil and natural gas production growth.
  • “Drilling and completion costs are continuing to increase while forward commodity prices are decreasing, putting pressure on drilling economics,” according to a respondent of the survey.
  • “5+ years of underspending will show up on the production side” added another respondent.


Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City

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