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US: Recap of Economic Indicators

                             Nov-17   Oct-17   Sep-17   Aug-17   Jul-17   Jun-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1                        239/231  244/258  298/250  244/241  250/244  245/242
wk 2                        252/239  223/249  281/263  232/241  248/246  238/243
wk 3                        239/240  234/240  260/269  235/238  234/244  242/245
wk 4                                 229/233  269/277  236/237  245/244  244/242
wk 5                                          258/267           241/242
Nonfarm Payrolls                       +261k     +18k    +208k    +138k    +210k
Private Payrolls                       +252k     +15k    +184k    +133k    +207k
Mfg Payroll                             +24k      +6k     +44k     -11k     +21k
Unemployment                            4.1%     4.2%     4.4%     4.3%     4.4%
Avg Wkly Hours                          34.4     34.4     34.4     34.4     34.5
Avg Hours - Mfg                         41.0     40.8     40.8     40.9     40.8
Aggr Hours Index                       +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%    -0.2%    +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg                   +0.8%     Flat    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.3%
Avg Hourly Earnings                     Flat    +0.5%    +0.2%    +0.5%    +0.2%
Final Demand PPI                       +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%
excl food & energy                     +0.4%    +0.4%    +0.1%    -0.1%    +0.1%
excl food, energy, trade               +0.2%    +0.2%    +0.2%     Flat    +0.2%
CPI                                    +0.1%    +0.5%    +0.4%    +0.1%     Flat
excl food & energy                     +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.2%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Import Prices                          +0.2%    +0.8%    +0.6%    -0.1%    -0.2%
non-petro import prices                +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.2%    -0.1%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index                 68.5     71.5     62.0     62.0     55.0
PCE Price Index M/M                             +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.1%     Flat
PCE Price Index Y/Y                             +1.6%    +1.4%    +1.4%    +1.4%
Core PCE Price Index M/M                        +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%    +0.1%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y                        +1.3%    +1.3%    +1.4%    +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn)                  -$63.2    +$8.0  -$107.7   -$42.9   -$90.2
Consumer Credit (bn)                           +$20.8   +$13.1   +$17.8   +$11.5
CB Consumer Confidence                 125.9    120.6    120.4    120.0    117.3
Consumer Sentiment             98.5    100.7     95.1     96.8     93.4     95.1
Car Sales, saar (mn)                     4.4      4.6      4.0      4.2      4.0
Truck Sales, saar (mn)                   9.4      9.6      8.3      8.7      8.8
Total, saar (mn)                        13.8     14.2     12.3     12.9     12.8
Retail Sales                           +0.2%    +1.9%    -0.1%    +0.5%    -0.1%
excl motor vehicles                    +0.1%    +1.2%    +0.5%    +0.5%    -0.2%
Personal Income                                 +0.4%    +0.2%    +0.3%     Flat
Personal Spending                               +1.0%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.1%
ISM Mfg Index                           58.7     60.8     58.8     56.3     57.8
ISM Nonmfg NMI                          60.1     59.8     55.3     53.9     57.4
MNI Chicago Report                      66.2     65.2     58.9     58.9     65.7
Phila Fed Mfg Index            22.7     27.9     23.8     18.9     19.5     27.6
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index         19.3     32.2     33.2     31.8     23.4     33.6
Empire State Index             19.4     30.2     24.4     25.2      9.8     19.8
Markit Mfg Index            53.8(a)     54.6     53.1     52.8     53.3     52.0
Markit Services Index       54.7(a)     55.3     55.3     56.0     54.6     54.2
Ind Production                         +0.9%    +0.4%    -0.5%     Flat    +0.2%
Capacity Util                          77.0%    76.4%    76.1%    76.5%    76.6%
Factory Orders                                  +1.4%    +1.2%    -3.3%    +3.2%
Factory Orders ex
transport                                       +0.7%    +0.6%    +0.5%    +0.1%
Durables                               -1.2%    +2.2%    +2.1%    -6.8%    +6.4%
Durables ex transport                  +0.4%    +1.1%    +0.8%     +0.8     Flat
Nondurables                                     +0.8%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.2%
Mfg Shipments                                   +0.8%    +0.6%    +0.2%    +0.1%
Business Inventories                             Flat    +0.6%    +0.3%    +0.5%
Factory                                         +0.7%    +0.6%    +0.4%     +0.3
Retail                                          -0.9%    +0.6%     Flat    +0.6%
Wholesale                                       +0.3%    +0.8%     +0.6    +0.6%
Housing Starts (mn)                    1.290    1.135    1.172    1.185    1.217
Building Permits (mn)                  1.297    1.225    1.272    1.230    1.275
NAHB Index                       70       68       64       67       64       66
New Home Sales (k)                       685      645      565      582      614
Existing Homes (mn)                     5.48     5.37     5.35     5.44     5.51
Pending Home Sales Index                        106.0    106.0    109.1    110.0
Construct Spending                              +0.3%    +0.1%    -0.9%    -0.8%
Private Residential                             -0.4%    -0.1%    -0.4%    +1.2%
Trade Balance (bn)                             -$43.5   -$42.8   -$43.6   -$43.5
Exports (bn)                                   $196.8   $194.7   $194.5   $194.9
Imports (bn)                                   $240.3   $237.5   $238.1   $238.5
Goods Only, BOP (bn)                           -$65.4   -$64.8   -$65.3   -$65.4
Leading Index                          +1.2%    +0.1%    +0.4%    +0.3%    +0.6%
                                                Q3-17             Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt)                                  +3.0%             +3.1%
Final Sales                                     +2.3%             +2.9%
Chain prices                                    +2.2%             +1.0%
Current-dollar                                  +5.2%             +4.1%
                                                Q3-17             Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity                            +3.0%             +1.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs                        +0.5%             +0.3%
                                                Q3-17             Q2-17
ECI (q/q)                                       +0.7%             +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]

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