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Free AccessUS: Recap of Economic Indicators
Mar-18 Feb-18 Jan-18 Dec-17 Nov-17 Oct-17
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
UI Claims/4wk avg
wk 1 230/225 223/228 247/245 235/241 237/234 241/252
wk 2 226/223 234/230 226/241 229/236 250/239 230/246
wk 3 227/225 218/227 229/238 242/236 239/240 234/240
wk 4 215/225 217/223 234/234 242/237 239/241 234/235
wk 5 248/240
Nonfarm Payrolls +313k +239k +175k +216k +271k
Private Payrolls +287k +238k +174k +217k +277k
Mfg Payroll +31k +25k +39k +30k +20k
Unemployment 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1% 4.1%
Avg Wkly Hours 34.5 34.4 34.5 34.5 34.4
Avg Hours - Mfg 41.0 40.8 40.8 40.9 40.9
Aggr Hours Index +0.6% -0.1% +0.2% +0.5% +0.5%
Aggr Hrs Index - Mfg +0.6% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2% +0.4%
Avg Hourly Earnings +0.1% +0.3% +0.4% +0.3% -0.2%
Final Demand PPI +0.2% +0.4% Flat +0.4% +0.5%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.4% -0.1% +0.2% +0.5%
excl food, energy, trade +0.4% +0.4% +0.1% +0.3% +0.3%
CPI +0.2% +0.5% +0.2% +0.3% +0.1%
excl food & energy +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2%
Import Prices +0.4% +0.8% +0.2% +1.0% +0.2%
non-petro import prices +0.5% +0.5% -0.1% +0.2% Flat
ISM Mfg Prices Pd Index 74.2 72.7 69.0 65.5 68.5
PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.4% +0.1% +0.2% +0.2%
PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.8% +1.7% +1.7% +1.7% +1.6%
Core PCE Price Index M/M +0.2% +0.3% +0.2% +0.1% +0.2%
Core PCE Price Index Y/Y +1.6% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5% +1.5%
Treasury Budget (bn) -$215.2 +$49.2 -$23.2 -$138.5 -$63.2
Consumer Credit (bn) +$13.9 +$19.2 +$30.9 +$22.8
CB Consumer Confidence 127.7 130.0 124.3 123.1 128.6 126.2
Consumer Sentiment 102.0 99.7 95.7 95.9 98.5 100.7
Car Sales, saar (mn) 3.9 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.4
Truck Sales, saar (mn) 8.9 9.0 9.5 9.0 9.4
Total, saar (mn) 12.8 12.8 13.6 13.3 13.8
Retail Sales -0.1% -0.1% -0.1% +0.8% +0.7%
excl motor vehicles +0.2% +0.1% Flat +1.2% +0.5%
Personal Income +0.4% +0.4% +0.4% +0.3% +0.4%
Personal Spending +0.2% +0.2% +0.4% +0.7% +0.3%
ISM Mfg Index 60.8 59.1 59.3 58.2 58.5
ISM Nonmfg NMI 59.5 59.9 56.0 57.3 59.8
MNI Chicago Report 57.4 61.9 65.7 67.8 65.6 65.4
Phila Fed Mfg Index 22.3 25.8 22.2 27.9 24.3 28.8
Phila Fed Nonmfg Index 30.1 31.0 19.5 29.4 25.6 33.4
Empire State Index 22.5 13.1 17.7 19.6 20.9 28.1
KC Fed Mfg Index 17 17 16 13 15 22
Richmond Fed Mfg Index 15 28 14 20 30 12
Dallas Fed Mfg Index 21.4 37.2 33.4 29.7 19.4 27.6
Markit Mfg Index 55.7(a) 55.3 55.5 55.1 53.9 54.6
Markit Services Index 54.1(a) 55.9 53.3 53.7 54.5 55.3
Ind Production +0.9% -0.2% +0.4% +0.5% +1.6%
Capacity Util 77.7% 77.0% 77.3% 77.0% 76.8%
Factory Orders -1.4% +1.8% +1.7% +0.4%
Factory Orders ex
transport +0.4% +0.9% +1.1% +1.2%
Durables +3.1% -3.5% +2.7% +1.7% -0.4%
Durables ex transport +1.2% -0.2% +0.8% +0.4% +1.4%
Nondurables +0.8% +0.9% +1.6% +1.1%
Mfg Shipments +0.6% +0.7% +1.4% +0.8%
Business Inventories +0.6% +0.6% +0.4% Flat
Factory +0.3% +0.7% +0.5% +0.3%
Retail +0.4%(a) +0.7% +0.3% +0.2% Flat
Wholesale +1.1%(a) +0.8% +0.7% +0.6% -0.4%
Housing Starts (mn) 1.236 1.329 1.207 1.299 1.261
Building Permits (mn) 1.321 1.377 1.300 1.303 1.316
NAHB Index 70 71 72 74 69 68
New Home Sales (k) 618 622 653 711 616
Existing Homes (mn) 5.54 5.38 5.56 5.72 5.50
Pending Home Sales Index 107.5 104.3 109.8 109.8 109.4
Construct Spending Flat +0.8% +1.2% +0.1%
Private Residential +0.3% -0.5% +1.2% -1.0%
Trade Balance (bn) -$56.6 -$53.9 -$50.9 -$49.1
Exports (bn) $200.9 $203.6 $200.2 $195.7
Imports (bn) $257.5 $257.5 $251.1 $244.8
Goods Only, BOP (bn) -$75.4 -$76.5 -$73.7 -$71.1 -$69.5
Leading Index +0.6% +0.8% +0.7% +0.4% +1.3%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
GDP (chain-wt) +2.9% +3.2% +3.1%
Final Sales +3.4% +2.4% +2.9%
Chain prices +2.3% +2.1% +1.0%
Current-dollar +5.3% +5.3% +4.1%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
Nonfarm Productivity Flat +2.7% +1.5%
Nonfarm Unit Labor Costs +2.5% -0.1% +0.3%
Q4-17 Q3-17 Q2-17
ECI (q/q) +0.6% +0.7% +0.5%
(a) advance report
--MNI Washington Bureau; +1 212-800-8517; email: sara.haire@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MAUDT$,M$U$$$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.