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US Tech Sell Off Weighs on Taiwanese Equities

ASIA
  • In the past 6 months, the dramatic tightening in financial conditions combined with the surge in stagflation risks have been weighing on US mega-cap growth stocks.
  • The FANG+ Index is down nearly 40% since its early November highs, and investors struggle to see the bottom in markets as global outlook keeps worsening.
  • We previously saw that due to its heavy semi-conductor component, Taiwanese equities have been trading like US-tech equities and therefore have historically been very sensitive to the liquidity dynamics.
  • As for the mega-cap growth stocks, Taiwan equities have been strongly driven by the significant rise in liquidity from major central banks in the past cycle.
  • The chart below shows the strong co-movement between US growth stocks and Taiwan equities in recent years.
    • The peak in US growth stocks in November 2021 was shortly followed by a peak in Taiwanese equities a few weeks later.
  • TWSE is down over 12% since its all-time high reached in early January.
  • Hence, with liquidity drying up (Fed to start QT) and market uncertainty remaining elevated, Taiwan equities remain vulnerable in the near term.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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