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Free AccessUS TSYS: DXY CLIMBS TO MULTI-YEAR HIGH
US TSY SUMMARY: Tsys trading slightly lower into the bell, volume (TYU
1.16M), curves slightly flatter; long end of Tsy crossed into the green this
morning until equities climbed higher bringing Tsy back to lower levels;
-Headlines out of Turkey today, "*ALBAYRAK: WE'LL FIGHT THOSE WHO TRY TO HARM
CONFIDENCE CLIMATE-BN","*ALBAYRAK: DOLLAR HAS TURNED TO POLITICAL PUNISHMENT
TOOL-BN","*ALBAYRAK: WE'LL SEE TURKISH LIRA STRENGTHENING FURTHER-BFW"; Turkish
Lira (TRY -.5577, 6.3261)
-DXY climbed higher today (+.314, 96.705, 96.794H/95.164L) touching new
multi-year highs
- Headline this morning, "India Is Said to Mull 50% Iran Oil Cut to Secure U.S.
Waiver-BFW" lifted oil higher but quickly reversed lower for the session as
inventories remain low; West Texas Crude (WTI -0.03, 67.17);
-Equities higher today (emini +17.50, 2,843.00), US$/Yen stronger on the US$
(JPY +0.51, 111.21); Gold (XAU +1.16, 1194.67); Tsy cash/ylds: 2Y 99-31.5
(2.631%), 5Y 99-29.25 (2.767%), 10Y 99-26.5 (2.893%), 30Y 98-26 (3.060%).
US TSY FUTURES CLOSE: Trading slightly lower as equities climbed higher (emini
+17.50, 2,843.00), volume (TYU 1.15M), Curves slightly flatter; update:
* 2s10s -0.195, 26.021 (25.034L/26.746H);
* 2s30s -0.195, 42.869 (41.281L/43.084H);
* 5s30s -0.078, 29.477 (28.172L/29.647H);
Current futures levels:
* Sep Ultra bonds futures down 14/32 at 157-20 (157-17L/158-09H)
* Sep 30-yr Bond futures down 11/32 at 143-31 (143-28L/144-13H)
* Sep 10-yr futures down 04.5/32 at 120-03.5 (120-01L/120-08H)
* Sep 5-yr futures down 03/32 at 113-16.75 (113-15.25L/113-19.75H)
* Sep 2-yr futures down 01/32 at 105-25.25 (105-24.5L/105-26.25H)
US EURODOLLAR FUTURES CLOSE: Trading lower across the strip, tight range with
low volume. Current White pack (Sep'18-Jun'19):
* Sep'18 -0.010 at 97.625
* Dec'18 -0.025 at 97.380
* Jun'19 -0.035 at 97.230
* Jun'19 -0.035 at 97.120
* Red pack (Sep'19-Jun'20) -0.040-0.030
* Green pack (Sep'20-Jun'21) -0.030-0.025
* Blue pack (Sep'21-Jun'21) -0.025
* Gold pack (Sep'22-Jun'22) -0.025-0.020
TECHNICALS:
US DOLLAR LIBOR: Latest settles,
* O/N +0.0008 to 1.9133% (+0.0008/wk)
* 1 Month +0.0008 to 2.0635% (-0.0033/wk)
* 3 Month +0.0014 to 2.3152% (-0.0041/wk)
* 6 Month +0.0048 to 2.5124% (+0.0003/wk)
* 1 Year +0.0105 to 2.8135% (-0.0020/wk)
US TSYS: *** /REPO REFERENCE RATES: (rate, volume)
* Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR): 1.91% vs. 1.90% prior, $733B
* Broad General Collateral Rate (BGCR): 1.89% vs. 1.87% prior, $396B
* Tri-Party General Collateral Rate (TGCR): 1.89% vs. 1.87% prior, $382B
US SWAPS: Latest spd levels:
* 2Y +1.34/19.71
* 5Y +0.68/13.75
* 10Y +0.75/6.75
* 30Y +0.55/-6.93
OUTLOOK: Data/speaker calendar (prior, estimate):
- Aug 15 ** 10-Aug MBA Mortgage Applications -3.0, -- % 0700ET
- Aug 15 ** Q2 non-farm productivity (p) 0.4, 2.4 % 0830ET
- Aug 15 ** Q2 unit labor costs (p) 2.9, -0.4 % 0830ET
- Aug 15 *** Jul retail sales 0.5, 0.1 % 0830ET
- Aug 15 *** Jul retail sales ex. motor vehicle 0.4, 0.4 % 0830ET
- Aug 15 *** Jul retail sales ex. mtr veh, gas 0.3, -- % 0830ET
- Aug 15 ** Aug Empire Manufacturing Index 22.6, 20.0 0830ET
- Aug 15 *** Jul industrial production 0.6, 0.4 % 0915ET
- Aug 15 *** Jul capacity utilization 78.0, 78.2 % 0915ET
- Aug 15 * Jun business inventories 0.4, 0.1 % 1000ET
- Aug 15 ** Aug NAHB home builder index 68, -- 1000ET
- Aug 15 ** Aug Atlanta Fed inflation 2.1, -- % 1000ET
- Aug 15 ** 10-Aug crude oil stocks ex. SPR w/w -1.35, -- m bbl 1030ET
- Aug 15 ** Jun net TICS flows --, -- b USD 1600ET
- Aug 15 ** Jun long term TICS flows --, -- b USD 1600ET
Eurodollar/Treasury Option Summary
Eurodollar options, Pit/screen:
* +5,000 Dec 73/75 1x2 calls sprd at 1
* +10,000 Dec 73/75 put sprd vs Green Dec 67 puts for net 2, note bought put
sprd, BLOCK
* -10,000 Sep 76 at 2.5 vs 9763.25/0.56%, note -20k in pit, BLOCK
* +10,000 Dec 75/76 1x2 call sprd at 0.5, total of +20k blocked
* +4,000 Dec 75/76 1x2 call sprd at 0.5, note +10k just blocked, +12k blocked
overnight, +4k in pit earlier all at 0.5
* 3,000 Short Oct 77 calls at 1
UPDATE: Total -85,000 Green Dec 65/67 put sprd at net 3.75, note yesterdays
large +50k Green Dec 67 puts BLOCK bought at 6
* +15,000 Red Mar 60/62 2x1 put sprd at 1
* -10,000 Short Dec/Green Dec 70 put sprd at 1.5 vs 9704.5/0.15%
UPDATE: Total -20,000 Mar 72/73 call sprd at 0.5 over Mar 70/71 put sprd
* +5,000 Oct 75/76 1x2 call sprd at 0.5
* +7,000 Short Dec 65/66/67 put fly at 1
* +10,000 Red Dec 63/66 put sprd at 5
UPDATE: Total 10,000 Dec 71/72 put sprd at 1.5
* Total -20,000 Green Dec 65/67 put sprd at 3.75 on legs
* 5,000 Sep 76 puts at 2
US TSY OPTIONS
* +5,000 TYU 119.75 puts at 8 vs 120-03/0.28%
* +5,000 TYU 120.5 calls at 10, futs 4.5/5
* +2,000 TYU 122 calls at 2 vs 8.5/0.05%
* +5,500 TYU 122.75 calls at 1
* -8,000 TYU 120.5 calls at 11 vs 120/6.5-7
* +2,500 TYU 121 calls at 5, as futs 06 offer
--MNI Chicago Bureau; +1 630-698-0154; email: ryan.martin@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,M$U$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$,MN$FX$]
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.