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Free AccessUSD/CNH To 7.2150 Post NFP, Regulator Vows To Stabilize Equity Markets
The US NFP beat on Friday saw USD/CNH break higher. From close to 7.1900 the pair surged above 7.2150, before finding selling resistance. We track around this level in early trade today, having lost 0.37% for Friday's session. USD/CNY finished up at 7.1935 on Friday so a decent discount to USD/CNH. The CNY NEER (J.P. Morgan index) rose 0.24% to 124.18, as the yuan outperformed the broader USD bounce.
- Today on the data front we have the Caixin services PMI for Jan. The market consensus is for a 53 outcome, prior was 52.9. The composite Caixin PMI is also due, the prior read was 52.6 (there is no consensus for this outcome).
- A stronger focus point though is likely to be on local equity market sentiment. Onshore markets finished up from lows on Friday in volatile, but still 1.18% weaker for the CSI 300 and 1.46% for the Shanghai Composite.
- There didn't appear a direct catalyst for the weakness, although state support may have aided a modest rebound (see this link for more details). In US trade on Friday, the Golden Dragon index lost 1.62%.
- Over the weekend the China Securities Regulatory Commission stated it would stabilize market sentiment, without going into specifics (see this BBG link).
- US Presidential candidate Donald Trump also stated tariffs on China imports would be hiked if he returns to office, reiterating calls he made in late Jan.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.