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​USD Gains Continue ​​

FOREX

The USD has seen broad based gains in the first part of trading today. The DXY is up around 0.40% from NY closing levels to +109.20. We are within striking distance of previous cyclical highs just shy of 109.30.

  • In many respects, moves are a continuation of what we saw through the tail end of the Friday night session, with cross asset signals favouring the USD.
  • US yields have spiked, with the 2yr up close to 5bps, and just shy of 3.45%. The 10yr up by a similar amount to 3.09%. US equity futures are down sharply, the S&P500 off 1.1%, the Nasdaq -1.60%. Regional equity markets are also in the red.
  • The market has had further time to digest the weekend events around Jackson Hole, which it sees as hawkish (higher for longer US rates).
  • USD gains are broad based. Both JPY and GBP are 0.5% weaker against the USD. USD/JPY is back to 138.35/40, while GBP/USD is under 1.1680, likely not helped by Goldman's UK recession call (for Q4 this year).
  • EUR/USD is around 0.9930, not too far from last week's lows close to 0.9900.
  • AUD/USD is at 0.6860, also tracking close to last week's lows. NZD/USD is at 0.6110.
  • Coming up is the AU retail sales print, +0.30% expected, versus +0.2% in June.

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