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USD INDEX TECHS: Bulls Remain In The Driver’s Seat

FOREX

The USD Index (DXY) remains in a clear uptrend and indications are that the path of least resistance remains up and that the USD will continue to appreciate over the medium-term. The monthly chart highlights an important break that occurred recently and some price objectives that are possible over the medium-term.

  • An important technical break occurred in June.
    • A strong monthly close in June highlighted a clear break of an area of resistance around the 103.00 handle.
    • This marked the top of a multi-year range that price had established since early 2017.
    • The range breakout represents an important bullish break and reinforces the primary uptrend.
    • Range breakouts allow us to calculate a price objective, once a break is confirmed.
    • The height of the range is projected from the breakout to identify, in this case, a long-term objective.
    • The projection is 117.00. Note that the range breakout also raises the possibility of an appreciation to the 120.00 handle that was last tested in 2001 and 2002.

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